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The Black Swan: Second Edition (English)

(Hardcover)
Hardcover
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Language: English
Length: 366 pages
Publisher: Random House Publishing Group
Rs. 1,926 6% OFF
Rs. 1,792

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The Black Swan: Second Edition (English) (Hardcover) Price: Rs. 1,792

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
 
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.”
 
For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
 
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.
 
Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb
 
“The most prophetic voice of all.”—GQ
 
Praise for The Black Swan
 
“[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London)
 
“A masterpiece.”—Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail
 
“Idiosyncratically brilliant.”—Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
 
The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.”—Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate
 
“[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.”—The Wall Street Journal
 
“Hugely enjoyable—compelling . . . easy to dip into.”—Financial Times
 
“Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.”—The New York Times Book Review

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Specifications of The Black Swan: Second Edition (English) (Hardcover)

Book Details
Publisher Random House Publishing Group
Award Year 2007
ISBN-10 1400063515
Edition 01
Imprint Random House
Number of Pages 366 Pages
Publication Year 2007 May
Language English
Awards Short listed Financial Times and Goldman Sachs Bus
ISBN-13 9781400063512
Binding Hardcover
Dimensions
Weight 1.49 Pounds (US)
Height 9.21 inch
Width 1.25 inch
Depth 1.25 inch
Contributors
Author Info
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His work has been published in thirty-three languages.
Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Reviews of The Black Swan: Second Edition (English) (Hardcover)

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★★★★★
★★★★★

Pradeep Kumar Nair

Feb 14, 2014

Mirror Mirror - Who are you?

This book re-emphasizes a place for the "iconoclasts", "mavericks" and "skeptics" that the world needs in such trying times when noise is passed as information and mediocrity's celebrations is adnauseum. Or maybe it was always like this throughout human history.

I was glad to learn that the…
(View complete review)
★★★★★
★★★★★

S Mishra

Sep 26, 2011

First to review

Indian Edition also available

Needless to say anything about the book and its author. Awesome!

Just if you think that the price is too high, that is because this is an Imported Edition. You can find a less costly Indian paper-back version (2nd Edition) of this book here:
www.flipkart.com/books/0141034599?affid=setu2…
(View complete review)

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★★★★★
★★★★★

S Mishra

Sep 26, 2011

First to review

Indian Edition also available

Needless to say anything about the book and its author. Awesome!

Just if you think that the price is too high, that is because this is an Imported Edition. You can find a less costly Indian paper-back version (2nd Edition) of this book here:
www.flipkart.com/books/0141034599?affid=setu2kxyah
★★★★★
★★★★★

Pradeep Kumar Nair

Feb 14, 2014

Mirror Mirror - Who are you?

This book re-emphasizes a place for the "iconoclasts", "mavericks" and "skeptics" that the world needs in such trying times when noise is passed as information and mediocrity's celebrations is adnauseum. Or maybe it was always like this throughout human history.

I was glad to learn that the human brain has not developed since the early caveman days (Oh How we have fooled ourselves this long)

This book teems with "intellectual rigour and integrity" stirring emotions in me that I have not felt for a long time and gave me goose bumps like some of the classics that really do!
 

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