“gerd gigerenzer”

Think less - and know more. A sportsman can catch a ball without calculating its speed or distance. A group of amateurs beat the experts at playing the stock market. A man falls for the right woman even though she's 'wrong' on paper. All these people succeeded by trusting their instincts - but how d... More

Gut Feelings reveals the secrets of fast and effective decision-making. Gerd Gigerenzer analyses the heuristics that people actually use to make good decisions and shows us how we can become better decision-makers ourselves. In order to make a good decision in an uncertain world, one sometimes h... More

Where do new ideas come from? What is social intelligence? Why do social scientists perform mindless statistical rituals? This vital book is about rethinking rationality as adaptive thinking: to understand how minds cope with their environments, both ecological and social. Gerd Gigerenzer proposes ... More

At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities a... More

In recent decades, the economists' concept of rational choice has dominated legal reasoning. And yet, in practical terms, neither the lawbreakers the law addresses nor officers of the law behave as the hyperrational beings postulated by rational choice. Critics of rational choice and believers in "f... More

In a complex and uncertain world, humans and animals make decisions under the constraints of limited knowledge, resources, and time. Yet models of rational decision making in economics, cognitive science, biology, and other fields largely ignore these real constraints and instead assume agents with ... More

In today's complex world, we have come to rely increasingly on those who have expertise in specific areas and can bring their knowledge to bear on crucial social, political and scientific questions. Taking the viewpoint that experts are consulted when there is something important at stake for an ind... More

This book tells how quantitative ideas of chance transformed the natural and social sciences, as well as daily life, over the past three centuriesThis book tells how quantitative ideas of chance have transformed the natural and social sciences as well as everyday life over the past three centuries. ... More

Table of contents 1. Overview of Optical Fiber Communications 2. Optical Fibers: Structures, Waveguiding, and Fabrication 3. Signal Degradation in Optical Fibers 4. Optical Sources 5. Power Launching and Coupling 6. Photodetectors 7. Optical Receiver Operation 8. Digital Links 9. Analog Li... More